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MSFT stock

Daily close 495.4 · 2026-08-14

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Now 495.4

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342.62 387.04 431.46 475.89 520.31 26-05-12 26-06-01 26-06-18 26-07-09 26-07-28 26-08-14 CHANNEL ±2σ · r² 0.14 · rising VOLUME · avg 40 · spike = 1.8x 16.2M 0.38x avg 3 spikes 495.40

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Chart key
Trailing sell line Current price Volume spike (≥1.8× avg) 40-bar volume average Buy 1 Buy 2 Buy 3 Full average Invalidation Target Red line Anchor diamond
Condition rating sideways score +42 · 80% of components agree
Why

Channel fit r² 0.18 and 1.6σ of travel — not enough trend to call a direction.

Adaptive trend +1.00 ×2 Price above the regime line (green area)
Channel slope +0.54 ×2 Rising 1.6σ over 100 bars, r² 0.18
50 vs 200 -0.91 ×1.5 50-bar is below the 200-bar by -4.6%
Range position +0.78 ×1 89% of the way up the 55-bar range
Momentum (20 bar) +0.67 ×1 +1.3 ATR-adjusted over 20 bars

A mechanical summary of conditions already on this chart — not advice and not a forecast. It knows nothing about spread, earnings or liquidity, which rule 5 says are reasons to skip regardless.