TLT stock

Daily close 82.04 · 2026-08-14

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Channel MA

Now 82.04 — …

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Chart key

Trailing sell line Current price Volume spike (≥1.8× avg) 40-bar volume average Buy 1 Buy 2 Buy 3 Full average Invalidation Target Red line Anchor diamond

Condition rating strong sell score -83 · 100% of components agree

Why

Adaptive trend	-1.00	×2	Price below the regime line (red area)
Channel slope	-1.00	×2	Falling 3.8σ over 100 bars, r² 0.54
50 vs 200	-0.54	×1.5	50-bar is below the 200-bar by -2.7%
Range position	-0.95	×1	3% of the way up the 55-bar range
Momentum (20 bar)	-0.43	×1	-0.9 ATR-adjusted over 20 bars

A mechanical summary of conditions already on this chart — not advice and not a forecast. It knows nothing about spread, earnings or liquidity, which rule 5 says are reasons to skip regardless.